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Ligue 1 France

29 round 13.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

13.05.2026 17:00 UTC 29 round

Finished

Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 - Strasbourg

France Football

Stade Brestois 29

1 : 2

Finished

Strasbourg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Strasbourg May 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.46 / 2 2.57
1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 35.7% / X 27.4% / Strasbourg 36.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 35.8%

X 27.4%

2 36.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 53.8%

Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Strasbourg

Main outcome Strasbourg

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 38.1%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Fransis-Le Ble (Brest, France), vmestimost: 15931

Referee Benua Miyo

Start 13.05.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Strasbourg

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Brest - Strasburg, 13 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship France po futbolu (Liga 1) 2025-2026, 29 round. Brest - Strasburg, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:2

Events 12

Statistics 22

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

9' 9' Normal Goal | V. Barco Valentín Barco Strasbourg

13' 13' Normal Goal | L. Ajorque | assist/sub out: K. Lala L. Ajorque Stade Brestois 29

20' 20' Normal Goal | S. Nanasi S. Nanasi Strasbourg

64' 64' Substitution 1 | J. Dina Ebimbe | assist/sub out: R. Labeau Lascary J. Dina Ebimbe Stade Brestois 29

72' 72' Substitution 1 | D. Moreira | assist/sub out: S. Amo-Ameyaw Diego Moreira Strasbourg

77' 77' Substitution 2 | K. Doumbia | assist/sub out: H. Makalou K. Doumbia Stade Brestois 29

78' 78' Substitution 3 | R. Del Castillo | assist/sub out: P. Mboup R. Del Castillo Stade Brestois 29

82' 82' Substitution 2 | M. Godo | assist/sub out: Y. Dieme M. Godo Strasbourg

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Strasbourg SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 3.06 2.02 final

Zablokirovannye udary 8 3 final

Shots off target 7 2 final

Shots on target 6 5 final

Udary vsego 21 10 final

Fouls soversheno 10 11 final

Zheltye kartochki 0 1 final

Offsides 2 4 final

Stade Brestois 29 #7 J. Dina Ebimbe, #8 H. Magnetti, #19 L. Ajorque, #27 D. Guindo, #30 G. Coudert, #4 M. Diaz, #13 J. Chotard, #23 K. Doumbia, #10 R. Del Castillo, #71 R. Le Guen, #77 K. Lala

Strasbourg #19 J. Enciso, #20 M. Godo, #29 Samir El Mourabet, #39 Mike Penders, #42 A. Ouattara, #11 S. Nanasi, #24 Lucas Høgsberg, #32 Valentín Barco, #2 A. Omobamidele, #7 Diego Moreira, #22 G. Doué

Player Team Metric SStats

D. Guindo Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 92

G. Coudert Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 92

H. Magnetti Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 84

H. Makalou Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 15

J. Chotard Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 83

J. Dina Ebimbe Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 64

K. Doumbia Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 77

K. Lala Stade Brestois 29 football.player.assists 1

K. Lala Stade Brestois 29 football.player.minutes_played 92

L. Ajorque Stade Brestois 29 football.player.goals 1

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.03 Fonbet · line only

X 6.10 Fonbet · line only

1 2.66 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.11 Fonbet · line only

1X 10.00 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.95 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.65 37.7%	2.72 36.8%	2.63 38.0%	2.60 38.5%	2.62 38.2%	2.63 38.0%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.58 27.9%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.55 28.2%	3.50 28.6%
	2.48 40.3%	2.71 36.9%	2.45 40.8%	2.60 38.5%	2.57 38.9%	2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.25 44.4%	2.19 45.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.21 45.3%	2.23 44.8%
yes	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.59 62.9%	1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75	—	1.29 77.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.36 73.5%
Over 2.25	—	1.66 60.2%
Over 2.5	1.70 58.8%	1.88 53.2%
Over 3.5	2.80 35.7%	—
Over 4.5	5.25 19.1%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Under 2.5	2.10 47.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.42 70.4%	—
Under 4.5	1.15 87.0%	—

Match center

Stade Brestois 29

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Strasbourg

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Sumayla Kulibali Travmirovannye Emanuel Emega Khoakin Panichelli Aaron Anselmino Datro Fofana

Match center

Stade Brestois 29

L L D D L

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:1 Paris Saint Germain

03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 0:4 Paris FC

24.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 3:3 Lens

19.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 1:1 Nantes

04.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29 3:4 Rennes

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

2.6 Conceded

2 Points

Strasbourg

D L W L W

10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Strasbourg 1:1 Angers

03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Strasbourg 1:2 Toulouse

26.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Strasbourg 3:2 Lorient

19.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1

Strasbourg 0:3 Rennes

04.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Strasbourg 3:1 Nice

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Strasbourg

Stade Brestois 29

1 matches total

Strasbourg

Stade Brestois 29: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Strasbourg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Stade Brestois 29 2:1 (30.11 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 30.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.11 14:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Stade Brestois 29

2:1

Strasbourg

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Stade Brestois 29

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Strasbourg

32 Games 32

10 Wins 13

8 Draws 8

14 Losses 11

41 Scored 51

52 Conceded 42

38 Points 47

91.97 Attacks 99.63

38.38 Dangerous attacks 47.53

0 Big chances 0

10.19 Shots on goal 11.09

3.38 Shots on target 4.5

eniya 0.16 Goly Valentin Barko Sebastyan Nanasi 0:1 9' Lyudovik Azhork Kenni Lala 1 13' Sebastyan Nanasi Khulio Ensiso 1:2 20' Nakazaniya Yaya Dieme 85'

Brest Strasburg 32 Games 32 10 Wins 13 8 Draws 8 14 Losses 11 41 Scored 51 52 Conceded 42 38 Points 47 91.97 Attacks 99.63 38.38 Dangerous attacks 47.53 0 Big chances 0 10.19 Shots on goal 11.09 3.38 Udary v stvor 4.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.72 Uglovye 4.25 1.31 Offsaydy 1.72 12.88 Foly 11.41 42.84 % vladeniya myachom 54.25 1.81 Warnings 1.78 0.13 Sendoffs 0.16 Goly Valentin Barko Sebastyan Nanasi 0:1 9' Lyudovik Azhork Kenni Lala 1 13' Sebastyan Nanasi Khulio Ensiso 1:2 20' Nakazaniya Yaya Dieme 85'