Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
25.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Stade Brestois 29 - Toulouse

France Futbol
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 2
Finished
Toulouse
Toulouse

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Toulouse 25 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 2.97 / 2 2.63
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 32.0% / X 31.9% / Toulouse 36.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 32.0%
X 32.0%
2 36.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 41.5%
Under 2.5 58.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.01.2026 16:15 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Toulouse

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · line only
X 2.98 market consensus · line only
1 2.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.10 32.3%
Х 3.04 32.9%
П2 2.66 37.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.82 35.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.11 32.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
Х 2.98 33.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
П2 2.64 37.9% 2.53 39.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
L W L W W
18.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 LionLion
04.01 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
13.12 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:3 RennesRennes
05.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:0 MonacoMonaco
30.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Toulouse
W L W W D
17.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 5:1 NiceNice
02.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:3 LensLens
13.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 3:0 Paris FCParis FC
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:0 StrasbourgStrasbourg
29.11 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStade Brestois 29 - Toulouse

Stade Brestois 29
2 matches total
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toulouse: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Toulouse 0:2 (24.08 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 24.08 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

24.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
0:2
Toulouse
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29
2:0
Toulouse