Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
06.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Lens

France Futbol
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2 : 2
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Lens 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.71 / X 3.46 / 2 2.71
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 35.9% / X 28.1% / Lens 35.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 35.9%
X 28.1%
2 35.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.7%
Over 2.5 51.8%
Under 2.5 48.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 06.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Lens

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.71 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.71 36.9%
Х 3.46 28.9%
П2 2.71 36.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.51 66.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.88 53.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.02 49.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.92 52.1%
П2 1.94 51.6%
Match center
Strasbourg
W D D
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:3 LilleLille
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 AngersAngers
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
5 Points
Lens
D D D D
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 NiceNice
21.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 RennesRennes
15.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 0:0 LionLion
01.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:1 MonacoMonaco
0 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Lens

Strasbourg
0 matches total
Lens
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history