Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
27.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Lens

France Futbol
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1 : 1
Finished
Lens
Lens

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Lens 27 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.46 / 2 2.97
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 40.7% / X 27.4% / Lens 31.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 40.7%
X 27.4%
2 31.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Lens

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.33 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.86 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.27 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.37 42.2%
Х 3.53 28.3%
П2 3.10 32.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.32 43.1% 2.33 42.9% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6%
Х 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
П2 2.90 34.5% 2.96 33.8% 3.09 32.4% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.30 43.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.32 43.1%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Strasbourg
W D L L W
22.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:1 LionLion
14.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
01.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 4:1 LilleLille
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Lens
L W W W L
21.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 2:3 MonacoMonaco
14.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 5:0 Paris FCParis FC
07.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 3:1 RennesRennes
30.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
24.01 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Lens 1:3 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Lens

Strasbourg
2 matches total
Lens
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Lens: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Lens 0:1 (22.11 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 06.10 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (06.10 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
0:1
Lens
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:2
Lens