Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
09.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Lille

France Futbol
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2 : 0
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Lille 9 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.71 / X 3.57 / 2 2.48
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 35.1% / X 26.7% / Lille 38.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 35.1%
X 26.6%
2 38.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 57.2%
Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 2.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.40 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.78 36.0%
Х 3.65 27.4%
П2 2.54 39.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6%
П2 2.44 41.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.57 38.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.36 42.4% 2.60 38.5%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3%
Match center
Strasbourg
L W L D W
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:4 RennesRennes
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 LionLion
17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 5:0 AngersAngers
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Lille
W L W W D
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:0 AngersAngers
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 0:2 NiceNice
26.10 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 6:1 MetzMetz
19.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 2:0 NantesNantes
05.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lille 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Lille

Strasbourg
1 matches total
Lille
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lille: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 21.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (21.09 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3:3
Lille