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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
14.12.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Lorient

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
0 : 0
Finished
Lorient
Lorient

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Lorient December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.72 / 2 4.48
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 53.2% / X 25.6% / Lorient 21.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 53.2%
X 25.6%
2 21.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Lorient

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.73 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.04 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.23 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.81 55.3%
X 3.81 26.3%
4.66 21.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
4.45 22.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.72 21.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Strasbourg
L L L W L
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
30.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 LensLens
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:0 LilleLille
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:4 RennesRennes
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Lorient
W W D D L
07.12 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:0 LionLion
30.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 3:1 NiceNice
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 NantesNantes
09.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 1:1 ToulouseToulouse
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Lorient 0:3 LensLens
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Lorient

Strasbourg
0 matches total
Lorient
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history