Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Marseille

France Futbol
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1 : 0
Finished
Marseille
Marseille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Marseille 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.

Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.26 / X 3.71 / 2 2.22
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 29.9% / X 26.3% / Marseille 43.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 29.9%
X 26.3%
2 43.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 58.3%
Under 2.5 41.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Marseille

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.22 market consensus · line only
X 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 3.26 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.26 30.7%
Х 3.71 27.0%
П2 2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.74 57.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.67 59.9%
ТМ 2.5 2.33 42.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.40 41.7%
П2 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Strasbourg
D D
21.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:3 LilleLille
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 AngersAngers
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Marseille
W W
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 3:2 LionLion
14.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Marseille 2:0 NiceNice
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Marseille

Strasbourg
0 matches total
Marseille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history