Match center
Start
26.09.2025 18:45 UTC
26.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Strasbourg - Marseille
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Strasbourg - Marseille 26 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marseille.
Line favourite market consensus: Marseille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.43 / X 3.67 / 2 2.09
- 1X2 market: Strasbourg 28.0% / X 26.2% / Marseille 45.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.2%
1
28.0%
X
26.1%
2
45.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5
55.9%
Under 2.5
44.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Strasbourg - Marseille
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.09
market consensus · line only
X
3.67
market consensus · line only
1
3.44
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.33
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
1.78
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.34
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.11
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.08
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.93
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.19
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.31
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.58
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.50 28.6% |
| Х | 3.73 26.8% |
| П2 | 2.11 47.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.35 29.9% | 3.52 28.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% |
| Х | 3.65 27.4% | 3.77 26.5% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.68 27.2% | 3.73 26.8% | 3.73 26.8% |
| П2 | 2.09 47.9% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.11 47.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.36 42.4% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.30 43.5% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.57 63.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.35 74.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.32 75.8% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.79 55.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
Strasbourg
W
W
L
W
W
21.09 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3:2
Paris FC
Paris FC
14.09 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:0
Le Havre
Le Havre
31.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:3
Monaco
Monaco
24.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:0
Nantes
Nantes
17.08 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:0
Metz
Metz
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
Marseille
W
W
L
W
L
22.09 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
1:0
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
12.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
4:0
Lorient
Lorient
31.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:1
Lion
Lion
23.08 15:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
5:2
Paris FC
Paris FC
15.08 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Marseille
0:1
Rennes
Rennes
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Marseille
Strasbourg
1
matches total
Strasbourg: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Marseille: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Strasbourg 1:0 (29.09 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
1 goals (1:0, 29.09 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
29.09 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:0
Marseille