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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
17.05.2026 19:00 UTC 34 round
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Monaco

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
5 : 4
Finished
Monaco
Monaco

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Monaco May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monaco.

Line favourite market consensus: Monaco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.04 / X 4.03 / 2 2.08
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 31.2% / X 23.5% / Monaco 45.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 31.1%
X 23.5%
2 45.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 70.8%
Under 2.5 29.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Meno (Strasburg, France), vmestimost: 26109
Referee Benua Basten (Metts)
Start 17.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Monaco

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Strasburg - Monako, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship France po futbolu (Liga 1) 2025-2026, 34 round. Strasburg - Monako, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.90 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.98 33.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.26 23.5% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0%
2.08 48.1% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.14 31.9% 3.10 32.3%
yes 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.73 57.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.11 90.1% 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 2.0 1.08 92.6%
Over 2.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 3.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 4.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 5.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 2.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 3.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 4.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 5.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Strasbourg

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Monaco

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Emanuel Emega Khoakin Panichelli Aaron Anselmino Travmirovannye Takumi Minamino Mokhammed Salisu Vanderson Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo Kassum Uattara Kayo Enrike
Match center
Strasbourg
W D L W L
13.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:1 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 AngersAngers
03.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 ToulouseToulouse
26.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:2 LorientLorient
19.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:3 RennesRennes
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Monaco
L W D D L
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 0:1 LilleLille
02.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:1 MetzMetz
25.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:2 ToulouseToulouse
19.04 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
10.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Monaco 1:4 Paris FCParis FC
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Monaco

Strasbourg
2 matches total
Monaco
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Monaco: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Monaco 2:3 (31.08 15:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 31.08 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (19.04 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

31.08 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:3
Monaco
19.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
0:0
Monaco
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Strasbourg
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Monaco
Strasbourg Team comparison Monaco
33 Games 33
14 Wins 16
8 Draws 6
11 Losses 11
53 Scored 56
43 Conceded 49
50 Points 54
99.12 Attacks 106.44
47.18 Dangerous attacks 51.47
0 Big chances 0
11.06 Shots on goal 11.45
4.52 Shots on target 4.27
eniya 2.09 0.15 Sendoffs 0.18 Goly Lamin Kamara 0:1 10' Martial Godo Khulio Ensiso 1 34' Lamin Kamara Simon Adingra 1:2 42' Ansu Fati Aladzhi Bamba 1:3 45+2' Ismael Dukure 1:4 55' Diegu Moreyra Khulio Ensiso 2:4 58' Sebastyan Nanasi Diegu Moreyra 3:4 61' Sebastyan Nanasi Khulio Ensiso 4 72' Martial Godo Diegu Moreyra 5:4 84' Nakazaniya Kristian Mavissa 31' Lamin Kamara 51' Tayriz Nubissi 69'

Strasburg Monako 33 Games 33 14 Wins 16 8 Draws 6 11 Losses 11 53 Scored 56 43 Conceded 49 50 Points 54 99.12 Attacks 106.44 47.18 Dangerous attacks 51.47 0 Big chances 0 11.06 Shots on goal 11.45 4.52 Udary v stvor 4.27 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.24 Uglovye 4.85 1.79 Offsaydy 2.15 11.39 Foly 12.85 54.21 % vladeniya myachom 53.42 1.76 Warnings 2.09 0.15 Sendoffs 0.18 Goly Lamin Kamara 0:1 10' Martial Godo Khulio Ensiso 1 34' Lamin Kamara Simon Adingra 1:2 42' Ansu Fati Aladzhi Bamba 1:3 45+2' Ismael Dukure 1:4 55' Diegu Moreyra Khulio Ensiso 2:4 58' Sebastyan Nanasi Diegu Moreyra 3:4 61' Sebastyan Nanasi Khulio Ensiso 4 72' Martial Godo Diegu Moreyra 5:4 84' Nakazaniya Kristian Mavissa 31' Lamin Kamara 51' Tayriz Nubissi 69'