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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
12.04.2025 19:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Nice

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2 : 2
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Nice April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.50 / 2 2.79
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 37.7% / X 27.7% / Nice 34.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 37.7%
X 27.7%
2 34.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 19:05 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.57 38.9%
X 3.50 28.6%
2.79 35.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.55 64.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.48 67.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 2.5 2.03 49.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.85 54.1%
2.01 49.8%
Match center
Strasbourg
W W L D W
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 Reims
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:1 NantesNantes
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:4 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
06.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:2 LensLens
29.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Nice
L W D D D
04.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:2 NantesNantes
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:1 MonacoMonaco
20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 NantesNantes
06.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 1:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
28.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:0 LensLens
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Nice

Strasbourg
0 matches total
Nice
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history