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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Nice

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
3 : 1
Finished
Nice
Nice

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Nice April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.56 / 2 3.79
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 48.3% / X 26.6% / Nice 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 48.4%
X 26.6%
2 25.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Nice

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 1.96 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.84 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
3.85 26.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.98 25.1% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.26 44.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 — — 1.23 81.3%
Over 2.0 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.89 52.9% —
Over 3.5 2.60 38.5% — —
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5% — —
Under 2.75 — 2.01 49.8% —
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6% — —
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8% — —
Match center
Strasbourg
W D D D W
22.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:2 NantesNantes
15.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 Paris FCParis FC
07.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
27.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 LensLens
22.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:1 LionLion
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Nice
L W L L D
21.03 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:4 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
14.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 2:0 AngersAngers
08.03 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:4 RennesRennes
01.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 0:1 Paris FCParis FC
22.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Nice 3:3 LorientLorient
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Nice

Strasbourg
2 matches total
Nice
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
Nice: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 12.04 19:05 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (12.04 19:05 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

03.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
1:1
Nice
12.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:2
Nice