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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
15.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Paris FC

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
0 : 0
Finished
Paris FC
Paris FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Paris FC March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.79 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 53.6% / X 25.1% / Paris FC 21.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 53.7%
X 25.1%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Paris FC

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.79 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.80 55.6%
X 3.85 26.0%
4.61 21.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.74 57.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6%
4.45 22.5% 3.95 25.3% 4.57 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Strasbourg
D D W D L
07.03 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
27.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 LensLens
22.02 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:1 LionLion
14.02 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Paris FC
D W D L D
08.03 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 LionLion
01.03 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:0 NiceNice
21.02 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 1:1 ToulouseToulouse
14.02 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:5 LensLens
08.02 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Paris FC 0:0 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Paris FC

Strasbourg
1 matches total
Paris FC
Strasbourg: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris FC: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Strasbourg 3:2 (21.09 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 21.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3:2
Paris FC