Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
03.05.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain

France Futbol
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
2 : 1
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain 3 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.97 / 2 2.58
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 38.1% / X 24.4% / Paris Saint Germain 37.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 38.1%
X 24.4%
2 37.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.97 market consensus · line only
1 2.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.54 39.4%
Х 3.97 25.2%
П2 2.58 38.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.54 64.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.16 46.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.91 52.4%
П2 1.94 51.6%
Match center
Strasbourg
W D D W W
26.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:1 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
19.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 MonacoMonaco
12.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:2 NiceNice
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:0 Reims
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:1 NantesNantes
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Paris Saint Germain
L D W W W
25.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:3 NiceNice
22.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 NantesNantes
19.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 Le HavreLe Havre
05.04 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AngersAngers
27.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Paris Saint Germain

Strasbourg
1 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Strasbourg: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 2:4 (19.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 19.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:4
Paris Saint Germain