Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
01.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain

France Futbol
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1 : 2
Finished
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain 1 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.07 / X 4.37 / 2 1.60
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 18.8% / X 21.8% / Paris Saint Germain 59.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 18.8%
X 21.8%
2 59.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 61.9%
Under 2.5 38.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.60 market consensus · line only
X 4.38 market consensus · line only
1 5.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.20 19.2%
Х 4.51 22.2%
П2 1.61 62.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.33 18.8% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2%
Х 4.20 23.8% 4.55 22.0% 4.57 21.9% 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0%
П2 1.58 63.3% 1.59 62.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.33 42.9% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.39 41.8%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.40 41.7%
Match center
Strasbourg
W W D D L
25.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 4:1 LilleLille
18.01 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:1 MetzMetz
03.01 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:1 NiceNice
14.12 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:0 LorientLorient
06.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 ToulouseToulouse
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W
23.01 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
16.01 20:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:0 LilleLille
04.01 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 2:1 Paris FCParis FC
13.12 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 3:2 MetzMetz
06.12 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain 5:0 RennesRennes
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyStrasbourg - Paris Saint Germain

Strasbourg
3 matches total
Paris Saint Germain
Strasbourg: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 2:4 (19.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 17.10 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (17.10 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 8
8 Goals conceded 7

Match history

17.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3:3
Paris Saint Germain
03.05 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:1
Paris Saint Germain
19.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg
2:4
Paris Saint Germain