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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
30.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Strasbourg - Stade Brestois 29

France Football
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
1 : 2
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Strasbourg - Stade Brestois 29 November 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Strasbourg.

Line favourite market consensus: Strasbourg. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.84 / 2 4.59
  • 1X2 market: Strasbourg 54.4% / X 24.8% / Stade Brestois 29 20.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 54.4%
X 24.8%
2 20.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 55.9%
Under 2.5 44.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Strasbourg - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.09 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.76 56.8%
X 3.99 25.1%
4.76 21.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
4.65 21.5% 4.70 21.3% 4.78 20.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Strasbourg
L W L W L
22.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 0:1 LensLens
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 2:0 LilleLille
02.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:4 RennesRennes
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3:0 AuxerreAuxerre
26.10 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1:2 LionLion
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Stade Brestois 29
W L D L L
23.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:2 MetzMetz
08.11 16:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:3 MarseilleMarseille
02.11 19:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:0 LionLion
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:1 Le HavreLe Havre
25.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:3 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points