Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
20.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Angers

France Futbol
Toulouse
Toulouse
1 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Angers 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.39 / 2 7.63
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 65.3% / X 22.0% / Angers 12.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 65.3%
X 22.0%
2 12.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Angers

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.63 market consensus · line only
X 4.39 market consensus · line only
1 1.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.48 67.6%
Х 4.39 22.8%
П2 7.63 13.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.81 35.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.98 50.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.16 86.2%
П2 5.91 16.9%
Match center
Toulouse
L L L W
05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:2 LilleLille
29.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:2 LionLion
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:0 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Angers
D L D D L
04.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MarseilleMarseille
29.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:3 Reims
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 NantesNantes
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 StrasbourgStrasbourg
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:4 NiceNice
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Angers

Toulouse
0 matches total
Angers
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history