Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
23.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Angers

France Futbol
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 : 1
Finished
Angers
Angers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Angers 23 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.68 / X 3.71 / 2 5.42
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 56.7% / X 25.7% / Angers 17.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 56.7%
X 25.7%
2 17.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Angers

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.43 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 1.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.05 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.69 59.2%
Х 3.83 26.1%
П2 5.64 17.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.69 59.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3%
П2 5.25 19.1% 5.40 18.5% 5.64 17.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.60 17.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.30 43.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Toulouse
D D D L W
09.11 14:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:1 LorientLorient
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:0 Le HavreLe Havre
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:2 RennesRennes
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 MonacoMonaco
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 4:0 MetzMetz
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Angers
W L D W D
09.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 AuxerreAuxerre
02.11 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 0:1 LilleLille
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:2 MarseilleMarseille
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 2:0 LorientLorient
18.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Angers 1:1 MonacoMonaco
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Angers

Toulouse
1 matches total
Angers
Toulouse: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Angers: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 20.10 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:1
Angers