Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
15.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Le Havre

France Futbol
Toulouse
Toulouse
2 : 0
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Le Havre 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.68 / 2 4.63
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 52.6% / X 26.4% / Le Havre 21.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 52.6%
X 26.4%
2 21.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Le Havre

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.68 market consensus · line only
1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.85 54.1%
Х 3.68 27.2%
П2 4.63 21.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.05 48.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.35 74.1%
П2 3.41 29.3%
Match center
Le Havre
W
01.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 3:1 AuxerreAuxerre
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Le Havre

Toulouse
0 matches total
Le Havre
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history