Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
02.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Le Havre

France Futbol
Toulouse
Toulouse
0 : 0
Finished
Le Havre
Le Havre

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Le Havre 2 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.74 / 2 5.01
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 55.1% / X 25.7% / Le Havre 19.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 55.0%
X 25.7%
2 19.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 16:15 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Le Havre

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.02 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.78 56.2%
Х 3.73 26.8%
П2 5.04 19.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 1.71 58.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.78 56.2%
Х 3.80 26.3% 3.86 25.9% 3.70 27.0% 3.78 26.5% 3.73 26.8% 3.73 26.8%
П2 5.00 20.0% 5.17 19.3% 5.00 20.0% 5.05 19.8% 5.04 19.8% 5.04 19.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.98 50.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.16 46.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.16 46.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Toulouse
D L W W D
29.10 20:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:2 RennesRennes
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 MonacoMonaco
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 4:0 MetzMetz
05.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:1 LionLion
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:2 NantesNantes
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Le Havre
W W L D D
29.10 18:00 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:0 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 1:0 AuxerreAuxerre
18.10 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:6 MarseilleMarseille
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 2:2 RennesRennes
28.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Le Havre 0:0 MetzMetz
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Le Havre

Toulouse
1 matches total
Le Havre
Toulouse: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Le Havre: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Toulouse 2:0 (15.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 15.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:0
Le Havre