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Start
02.01.2026 19:45 UTC
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02.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Toulouse - Lens
0
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toulouse - Lens January 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.
Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.49 / X 3.27 / 2 2.89
- 1X2 market: Toulouse 38.1% / X 29.0% / Lens 32.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
38.1%
X
29.0%
2
32.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
48.2%
Under 2.5
51.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Toulouse - Lens
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.90
market consensus · line only
X
3.28
market consensus · line only
1
2.50
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.54
market consensus · line only
12
1.33
market consensus · line only
1X
1.42
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.55
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.22
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.78
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.07
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.99
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.04
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.73
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.51 39.8% | |
| X | 3.37 29.7% |
| 3.00 33.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.54 39.4% | 2.49 40.2% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.47 40.5% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.82 35.5% | 2.85 35.1% | 3.01 33.2% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.92 34.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.16 46.3% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.56 64.1% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
Match center
Toulouse
W
W
D
L
D
13.12 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3:0
Paris FC
Paris FC
06.12 18:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:0
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
29.11 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:2
Marseille
Marseille
23.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0:1
Angers
Angers
09.11 14:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:1
Lorient
Lorient
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
8
Points
Lens
W
W
W
W
W
14.12 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
2:0
Nice
Nice
06.12 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Nantes
Nantes
30.11 16:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
2:1
Angers
Angers
22.11 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
1:0
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
08.11 20:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Lens
4:1
Monaco
Monaco
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.6
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Lens
Toulouse
1
matches total
Toulouse: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Lens: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (1:1, 10.05 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (10.05 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
10.05 19:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:1
Lens
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