Ligue 1 France

12.04.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction

12.04.2025 17:00 UTC

Finished

Ligue 1

Toulouse - Lille

France Futbol

Toulouse

1 : 2

Finished

Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Lille 12 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lille.

Line favourite market consensus: Lille. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.95 / X 3.24 / 2 2.60
1X2 market: Toulouse 32.8% / X 29.9% / Lille 37.3%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%

1 32.8%

X 29.9%

2 37.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%

Over 2.5 44.6%

Under 2.5 55.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 12.04.2025 17:00 UTC

Match center

Toulouse - Lille

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.60 market consensus · line only

X 3.24 market consensus · line only

1 2.95 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.44 market consensus · line only

12 1.38 market consensus · line only

1X 1.53 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.95 33.9%
Х	3.24 30.9%
П2	2.60 38.5%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.38 72.5%
home_draw	1.53 65.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	2.17 46.1%
ТМ 2.5	1.75 57.1%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.05 48.8%
П2	1.82 55.0%

Match center

Toulouse

L W D L L

06.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 2:3 Marseille

27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 3:0 Montpellier

20.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 1:1 Angers

05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 1:2 Lille

29.09 13:00 UTC Ligue 1

Toulouse 1:2 Lion

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Lille

L W D W W

05.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 1:2 Lion

26.10 19:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 2:0 Lens

18.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 0:0 Monaco

05.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 2:1 Toulouse

28.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1

Lille 3:0 Le Havre

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Lille

Toulouse

1 matches total

Lille

Toulouse: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lille: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lille 1:2 (05.10 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 05.10 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 17:00 UTC

Ligue 1

Toulouse

1:2

Lille