Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Lyon

France Futbol
Toulouse
Toulouse
1 : 2
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Lyon 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 3.54 / 2 3.01
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 40.2% / X 27.5% / Lyon 32.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 40.2%
X 27.5%
2 32.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 55.5%
Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Lyon

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.01 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.42 41.3%
Х 3.54 28.3%
П2 3.01 33.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.18 45.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.74 57.5%
П2 2.18 45.9%
Match center
Toulouse
L W
22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
15.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:0 Le HavreLe Havre
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Lyon
L D
22.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 2:3 MarseilleMarseille
15.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Lyon 0:0 LensLens
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Lyon

Toulouse
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history