Match center
Start
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
10.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished
Ligue 1
Toulouse - Lyon
Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Toulouse - Lyon 10 мая 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.
Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.25 / X 3.95 / 2 1.77
- 1X2 market: Toulouse 22.3% / X 24.1% / Lyon 53.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
22.3%
X
24.0%
2
53.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Toulouse - Lyon
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.97
market consensus · line only
X
4.20
Fonbet · line only
1
1.27
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.21
market consensus · line only
12
1.23
market consensus · line only
1X
2.03
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.23
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.04
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.74
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.29
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.16
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.65
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 4.33 23.1% | 4.42 22.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.33 23.1% |
| Х | 3.90 25.6% | 4.17 24.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.90 25.6% |
| П2 | 1.72 58.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.14 46.7% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.00 50.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 0.75 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| ТБ 1.0 | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 1.25 | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.19 84.0% |
| ТБ 1.75 | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| ТБ 2.0 | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| ТБ 2.25 | — | 1.56 64.1% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.77 56.5% | — |
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.90 34.5% | — |
| ТБ 4.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — |
| ТМ 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — |
| ТМ 1.5 | 3.95 25.3% | — |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — |
Match center
Toulouse
W
D
L
L
W
03.05 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
25.04 19:05 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:2
Monaco
Monaco
17.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:3
Lens
Lens
12.04 15:15 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
0:4
Lille
Lille
21.03 16:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:0
Lorient
Lorient
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
2.0
Conceded
7
Points
Lyon
W
W
W
W
D
03.05 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
4:2
Rennes
Rennes
25.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
3:2
Auxerre
Auxerre
19.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
12.04 18:45 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
2:0
Lorient
Lorient
05.04 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Lyon
0:0
Angers
Angers
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Lyon
Toulouse
2
matches total
Toulouse: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lyon: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Toulouse 2:1 (05.10 13:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 05.10 13:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
05.10 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:1
Lion
29.09 13:00 UTC
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Toulouse
1:2
Lion