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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
03.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
03.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Rennes

France Football
Toulouse
Toulouse
2 : 1
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Rennes May 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 3.46 / 2 3.26
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 42.4% / X 27.9% / Rennes 29.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 42.4%
X 27.9%
2 29.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.26 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 2.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.67 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.28 43.9%
X 3.46 28.9%
3.26 30.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.37 73.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.96 51.0%
Under 2.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.64 61.0%
2.34 42.7%
Match center
Toulouse
D L L L W
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:0 NantesNantes
20.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 Reims
12.04 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:2 LilleLille
06.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:3 MarseilleMarseille
27.10 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 3:0 Montpellier
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Rennes
L W W L W
26.04 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:4 LionLion
18.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:1 NantesNantes
13.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 5:1 Le HavreLe Havre
06.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
25.10 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:0 Le HavreLe Havre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Rennes

Toulouse
0 matches total
Rennes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history