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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
29.10.2025 20:05 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Rennes

France Football
Toulouse
Toulouse
2 : 2
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Rennes October 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.53 / 2 3.74
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 47.7% / X 26.9% / Rennes 25.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 47.7%
X 26.9%
2 25.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2025 20:05 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Rennes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
X 3.64 27.5%
3.92 25.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.68 27.2% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.55 28.2%
3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.88 25.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.04 49.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.19 45.7%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Toulouse
L W W D L
25.10 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 MonacoMonaco
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 4:0 MetzMetz
05.10 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:1 LionLion
27.09 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:2 NantesNantes
21.09 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:1 AuxerreAuxerre
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Rennes
L D D D D
26.10 16:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 1:2 NiceNice
19.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 AuxerreAuxerre
05.10 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 Le HavreLe Havre
28.09 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 0:0 LensLens
20.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Rennes 2:2 NantesNantes
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Rennes

Toulouse
1 matches total
Rennes
Toulouse: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Rennes: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Toulouse 2:1 (03.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 03.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

03.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse
2:1
Rennes