Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
24.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Toulouse - Stade Brestois 29

France Futbol
Toulouse
Toulouse
2 : 0
Finished
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toulouse - Stade Brestois 29 24 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toulouse.

Line favourite market consensus: Toulouse. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.38 / 2 3.24
  • 1X2 market: Toulouse 42.5% / X 28.2% / Stade Brestois 29 29.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 42.5%
X 28.2%
2 29.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 47.7%
Under 2.5 52.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.08.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Toulouse - Stade Brestois 29

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.66 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.22 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.26 44.3%
Х 3.47 28.8%
П2 3.38 29.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.24 44.6% 2.23 44.8% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
Х 3.35 29.9% 3.55 28.2% 3.48 28.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
П2 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.36 29.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Toulouse
W W D W D
16.08 19:05 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:0 NiceNice
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 3:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 1:1 LensLens
03.05 17:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 2:1 RennesRennes
27.04 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse 0:0 NantesNantes
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Stade Brestois 29
D L W W L
17.08 13:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 3:3 LilleLille
17.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 0:6 NiceNice
10.05 19:00 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 2:0 LilleLille
04.05 15:15 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:0 Montpellier
27.04 18:45 UTC Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 1:4 MarseilleMarseille
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToulouse - Stade Brestois 29

Toulouse
1 matches total
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Stade Brestois 29: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Stade Brestois 29 0:2 (22.09 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 22.09 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.09 15:00 UTC Ligue 1
Toulouse
0:2
Stade Brestois 29