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Ligue 2
Ligue 2 France
04.04.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Ligue 2

France

Montpellier - Estac Troyes

France Football
Stadium Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier
Montpellier
2 : 2
Finished
Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Montpellier - Estac Troyes April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Estac Troyes.

Line favourite market consensus: Estac Troyes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.24 / 2 2.47
  • 1X2 market: Montpellier 34.4% / X 28.4% / Estac Troyes 37.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 34.4%
X 28.4%
2 37.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 51.3%
Under 2.5 48.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Montpellier - Estac Troyes

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.24 market consensus · line only
1 2.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.49 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
2.54 39.4% 2.72 36.8% 2.62 38.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.72 36.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.26 30.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.26 30.7%
2.32 43.1% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.51 39.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet William Hill
no 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.69 59.2% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet SBO
draw_away 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.46 68.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 — 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 — 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.75 — 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.0 — 1.35 74.1%
Over 2.25 — 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.5 1.86 53.8% 1.79 55.9%
Over 2.75 — 1.94 51.6%
Over 3.0 — 2.22 45.1%
Over 3.25 — 2.48 40.3%
Over 3.5 — 2.72 36.8%
Over 3.75 — 3.28 30.5%
Over 4.0 — 4.30 23.3%
Over 4.25 — 4.65 21.5%
Under 2.5 1.96 51.0% —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMontpellier - Estac Troyes

Montpellier
0 matches total
Estac Troyes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history