Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Minija Kretinga — 63%
Model estimate: win Hegelmann Litauen 2 20.4%, draw 16.6%, win Minija Kretinga 63.0%. Model favourite — Minija Kretinga.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.39 71.9% |
| yes | 2.79 35.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 18.70 5.4% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% |
| 1.43 69.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.11 47.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% |
Babrungas
Minija Kretinga
Garliava
Full head-to-head historyHegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga
Match history
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The Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form