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Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Lithuania: Liga I Standings
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Lithuania: Liga I Standings

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga

Football
H
Hegelmann Litauen 2
- : -
Not started
Minija Kretinga
Minija Kretinga
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Minija Kretinga63%

1 · Hegelmann Litauen 220.4%
X · draw16.6%
2 · Minija Kretinga ✓ Pick63.0%

Model estimate: win Hegelmann Litauen 2 20.4%, draw 16.6%, win Minija Kretinga 63.0%. Model favourite — Minija Kretinga.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Minija Kretinga

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hegelmann Litauen 2 3.9% 20.4%
Draw 10.9% 16.6% draw risk
Minija Kretinga 85.2% 63.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 20.4% / 16.6% / 63.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,211 / 1,713 Hegelmann Litauen 2 / Minija Kretinga
RD 204 / 208 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 803-1,619 / 1,297-2,130 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 market consensus · no value · model 63.0%
X 8.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
Both teams to score
No 1.39 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.39 71.9%
yes 2.79 35.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
18.70 5.4%
X 2.78 36.0%
1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.11 47.4%
Under 1.5 1.65 60.6%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.90 52.6%
1.80 55.6%
Match center
Hegelmann Litauen 2
L L L L
25.07 10:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Hegelmann Litauen 2 1:4 Atmosfera
21.07 14:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Hegelmann Litauen 2 0:2 Zhalgiris 2
02.07 13:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Hegelmann Litauen 2 1:3 Zhalgiris 2
12.06 13:30 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Hegelmann Litauen 2 0:1 BabrungasBabrungas
0 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
Minija Kretinga
L W W W
28.07 14:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Minija Kretinga 0:1 Zhalgiris 2
18.07 13:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Minija Kretinga 2:1 Yonava
26.06 14:30 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Minija Kretinga 1:0 GarliavaGarliava
13.06 12:00 UTC Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Minija Kretinga 3:0 BFA Vilnyus
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
9 Points