Lithuania: Liga I Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 BFA Vilnius — 59%
Pure model vs market (2 · BFA Vilnius): model 59% · market 59% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Siauliai 2 20.3%, draw 20.9%, win BFA Vilnius 58.7%. Model favourite — BFA Vilnius.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.54 64.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.18 84.8% |
| 1x | 2.05 48.8% | 2.30 43.5% |
| x2 | 1.09 91.7% | 1.16 86.2% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.62 21.7% | |
| X | 2.56 39.1% |
| 1.99 50.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.61 62.1% |
Neptunas
Tauras
Transinvest 2
Ekranas
Miniya
Full head-to-head historySiauliai 2 - BFA Vilnius
The Siauliai 2 - BFA Vilnius breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
