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Lithuania. Premier League
Lithuania. Premier League
12.06.2026 14:00 UTC 17 round
Finished

Lithuania. Premier League

Dziugas Telsiai - FA Shyaulyay

Football
D
Dziugas Telsiai
4 : 3
Finished
F
FA Shyaulyay

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dziugas Telsiai - FA Shyaulyay June 12, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.30 / X 1.19 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%
1 12.6%
X 77.2%
2 10.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

A Lyga
League table
Dziugas Telsiai
#317 ptsGP 105-2-312:11
LLWWD
FA Shyaulyay
#98 ptsGP 101-5-47:17
LWLDD
Best price across 12 books
1 1.80 Dafabet
X 3.68 Pinnacle
2 4.22 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dziugas Telsiai
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.70 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.34 xGA 1.26
1 +4.20 X -4.50 2 -4.55 1 (DNB) +2.08
FA Shyaulyay
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.06 xGA 1.53
1 +1.42 X +1.60 2 -3.20 1 (DNB) +2.10

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Dziugas Telsiai
Rating 1618
FA Shyaulyay
Rating 1517

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Dziugas Telsiai - FA Shyaulyay

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Dzhyugas Telshyay - Shyaulyay, 12 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Litvy po futbolu (A liga) 2026, 17 round. Dzhyugas Telshyay - Shyaulyay, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.80 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.65 60.6%
yes 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.00 25.0%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.07 93.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
10.50 9.5%
12.00 8.3%
7.30 13.7%
8.50 11.8%
5.60 17.9%
7.80 12.8%
8.50 11.8%
3.10 32.3%
5.90 17.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.03 97.1%
1.09 91.7%
1.06 94.3%
1.15 87.0%
1.09 91.7%
2.20 45.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Bettery Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 1 1.63 61.4%
Over 1.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 2 4.10 24.4%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.17 85.5%
Over 3 2.30 43.5%
Over 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 4 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 5 2.02 49.5%
Over 5.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 6 2.35 42.6%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Dziugas Telsiai
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 FA Shyaulyay
Dziugas Telsiai Team comparison FA Shyaulyay
16 Games 16
9 Wins 3
3 Draws 8
4 Losses 5
25 Scored 14
16 Conceded 23
30 Points 17
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
0.63 0.06 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Ronald Sobovale 1:0 38' Denis Bunchukov 2:0 42' Valentino Vermelen 3:0 54' Nedas Garbaliauskas 3:1 59' Nedas Garbaliauskas 3:2 66' Lazar Vukovic 3 77' 4:3 90+5'
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Dzhyugas Telshyay Shyaulyay 16 Games 16 9 Wins 3 Draws 8 4 Losses 5 25 Scored 14 16 Conceded 23 30 Points 17 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.69 Warnings 0.63 0.06 Sendoffs 0.06 Goly Ronald Sobovale 1:0 38' Denis Bunchukov 2:0 42' Valentino Vermelen 3:0 54' Nedas Garbaliauskas 3:1 59' Nedas Garbaliauskas 3:2 66' Lazar Vukovic 3 77' 4:3 90+5' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Andryus Lipskis Glavnye trenery Yurgis Puchinskis Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 61% 17% 22% Double chance 39% 41% 20% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1300950' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');