Lithuania. Premier League
Šiauliai face Banga on August 2, 2026 in the Lithuania. Premier League.
Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Banga — 46%
Pure model vs market (2 · Banga): model 39% · market 46% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Šiauliai 27.9%, draw 26.2%, win Banga 45.8%. Model favourite — Banga.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 1.74 57.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.68 59.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
| x2 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.14 24.2% | |
| X | 2.12 47.2% |
| 2.52 39.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.81 55.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.89 52.9% |
Khegelmann
Kauno Zhalgiris
Dzhyugas Telshyay
Banga
Dzhyugas Telshyay
Transinvest
Suduva
Full head-to-head historyŠiauliai - Banga
The Šiauliai - Banga breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
