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Lithuania. Premier League
Lithuania. Premier League
14.06.2026 09:15 UTC 17 round
Finished

Lithuania. Premier League

Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Zalgiris

Football
Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen
1 : 1
Finished
Kauno Zalgiris
Kauno Zalgiris

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Zalgiris June 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kauno Zalgiris.

Line favourite market consensus: Kauno Zalgiris. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.08 / X 3.96 / 2 1.43
  • 1X2 market: Hegelmann Litauen 14.8% / X 22.6% / Kauno Zalgiris 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.6%
1 14.7%
X 22.6%
2 62.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 09:15 UTC
Match center

Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Zalgiris

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Khegelmann - Kauno Zhalgiris, 14 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Litvy po futbolu (A liga) 2026, 17 round. Khegelmann - Kauno Zhalgiris, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.40 Fonbet · line only
X 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
6.67 15.0% 6.25 16.0% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 5.25 19.1% 6.20 16.1%
X 4.05 24.7% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 3.60 27.8% 4.20 23.8%
1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 3.60 27.8%
1x 1.07 93.5%
x2 1.08 92.6%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
11.00 9.1%
1.75 57.1%
9.50 10.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 1.75 1.27 78.7%
Over 2.0 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.25 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 2.75 1.94 51.6%
Over 3.0 2.24 44.6%
Over 3.25 2.52 39.7%
Over 3.5 2.78 36.0%
Over 3.75 3.36 29.8%
Over 4.0 4.40 22.7%
Over 4.25 4.76 21.0%
Over 4.5 5.05 19.8%
Over 4.75 5.41 18.5%
Match center
Kauno Zalgiris
L
31.05 09:15 UTC Lithuania: TOPLYGA Standings
Kauno Zalgiris 0:1 Zhalgiris
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Hegelmann Litauen
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Kauno Zalgiris
Hegelmann Litauen Team comparison Kauno Zalgiris
16 Games 16
3 Wins 8
8 Draws 5
5 Losses 3
17 Scored 34
24 Conceded 13
17 Points 29
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
38 0 Sendoffs 0.13 Goly Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor 0:1 20' Abdel Kader Ndzhoyya 1 38'
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Khegelmann Kauno Zhalgiris 16 Games 16 3 Wins 8 Draws 5 Losses 3 17 Scored 34 24 Conceded 13 17 Points 29 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.75 Warnings 0.38 0 Sendoffs 0.13 Goly Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor 0:1 20' Abdel Kader Ndzhoyya 1 38' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Mikel Aramburu Erneta Glavnye trenery Eyvinas Chernyauskas Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 37% 31% 32% Double chance 34% 34% 32% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1300948' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');