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Lithuania. Premier League
Lithuania. Premier League
21 round 04.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC 21 round
Finished

Lithuania. Premier League

Panevezhis - Hegelmann Litauen

Futbol
Panevezhis
Panevezhis
1 : 1
Finished
Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panevezhis - Hegelmann Litauen July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Panevezhis.

Line favourite market consensus: Panevezhis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 3.18 / 2 2.73
  • 1X2 market: Panevezhis 39.1% / X 28.1% / Hegelmann Litauen 32.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.9%
1 39.2%
X 28.1%
2 32.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Clubs and venues

Team reference

Panevezhis
  • Aukshtaytiya (Panevezhis) · 4 000 seats
  • Founded in 2015
  • Coach: Roland Vrabec
Hegelmann Litauen
  • Kaunas
  • Founded in 2009

Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Panevezhis
Well rested
  • Rest days: 5
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Hegelmann Litauen
No recent matches

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

  Panevezhis Hegelmann Litauen
Over 2.5 60% —
Average total 2.6 —
Both teams to score (BTTS) 40% —
Matches counted 5 —

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Panevezhis - Hegelmann Litauen

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Panevezhis - Khegelmann, 4 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Litvy po futbolu (A liga) 2026, 21 round. Panevezhis - Khegelmann, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 2.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.04 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.38 42.0%
X 3.24 30.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.30 30.3%
2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.80 35.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.24 80.7% 1.27 78.7%
1x 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
x2 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.88 34.7%
X 2.09 47.9%
3.51 28.5%
Match center
Panevezhis
L
12.06 13:30 UTC Lithuania: TOPLYGA Standings
Panevezhis 1:2 Transinvest
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Hegelmann Litauen
D
14.06 09:15 UTC Lithuania: TOPLYGA Standings
Hegelmann Litauen 1:1 Kauno ZhalgirisKauno Zhalgiris
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Panevezhis
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Hegelmann Litauen
Panevezhis Team comparison Hegelmann Litauen
18 Games 18
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 9
10 Losses 6
17 Scored 19
33 Conceded 28
18 Points 18
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
0.67 0.11 Sendoffs 0 Goly Abdel Kader Ndzhoyya 0:1 69' Marko Bachanin 1 90'
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Panevezhis Khegelmann 18 Games 18 5 Wins 3 Draws 9 10 Losses 6 17 Scored 19 33 Conceded 28 18 Points 18 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.5 Warnings 0.67 0.11 Sendoffs 0 Goly Abdel Kader Ndzhoyya 0:1 69' Marko Bachanin 1 90' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Roland Vrabets Glavnye trenery Mikel Aramburu Erneta Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 18% 46% 36% Double chance 32% 27% 41% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1318270' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');