LIVAN: Premier League - Chempionship - Playoff Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Al Nejmeh — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Al Nejmeh): model 40% · market 34% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Al Nejmeh 40.3%, draw 27.4%, win Al Ansar 32.3%. Model favourite — Al Nejmeh.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% | 1.52 65.8% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.44 29.1% | |
| X | 2.07 48.3% |
| 2.98 33.6% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.86 53.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
Al Nejmeh
Al-Akhed
Jwayya
Al-Ansar
Al Ansar
Jwayya
Al-Akhed
Nedzhmekh
Full head-to-head historyAl Nejmeh - Al Ansar
The Al Nejmeh - Al Ansar breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
