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29.07.2026 12:00 UTC
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29.07.2026 12:00 UTC
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LIVAN: Premier League - Ponizhenie (Playoff) Standings
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - Tadamon Sour
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Al Riyadi Abbasiyah): model 49% · market 43% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 43.2%, draw 28.7%, win Tadamon Sour 28.1%. Model favourite — Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Al Riyadi Abbasiyah (odds2.08)
Score 1:0 (odds6.90)
confidence 50%
- • Model backs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0 (odds 6.90).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - Tadamon Sour July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.
Line favourite market consensus: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.13 / 2 3.17
- 1X2 market: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 43.1% / X 28.6% / Tadamon Sour 28.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.6%
1
43.1%
X
28.6%
2
28.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1
:
1
Tadamon Sour
12.12
X3.13
23.23
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 43%
💹 Market
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 4310%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - Tadamon Sour
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
42.9%
43.2%
market and model agree
Draw
29.0%
28.7%
draw risk
Tadamon Sour
28.1%
28.1%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
43.2% / 28.7% / 28.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,561 / 1,458
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah / Tadamon Sour
RD
185 / 174
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,192-1,931 / 1,111-1,805
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.18
market consensus · no value · model 28.1%
X
3.13
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.08
market consensus · no value · model 43.2%
Double chance
12
1.30
market consensus · no value · model 71.3%
1X
1.27
market consensus · no value · model 71.9%
X2
1.61
market consensus · no value · model 56.8%
Handicap
2 0
2.34
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.53
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.91
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.96
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.12 47.2% | |
| X | 3.12 32.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.23 31.0% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 2.88 34.7% | 3.25 30.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% |
| x2 | 1.58 63.3% | 1.64 61.0% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_1 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_10 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 36.00 2.8% |
| 0_4 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_5 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_6 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_7 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_8 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 0_9 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_10 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 65.00 1.5% |
| 1_5 | 65.00 1.5% |
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 1-2-1, avg 2.25 gls
2026-07-17 · Reyadi Abaseya 0:0 Tadamon
2026-02-13 · Reyadi Abaseya 1:1 Tadamon
2025-10-17 · Reyadi Abaseya 3:1 Tadamon
2024-09-20 · Reyadi Abaseya 1:2 Tadamon
Source: ruscore
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
W
D
W
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2:1
Rasing
Rasing
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
0:0
Tadamon
Tadamon
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4:0
Rasing
Rasing
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.3
Conceded
7
Points
Tadamon Sour
W
D
W
Tadamon Sour
1:0
Rasing
Rasing
Tadamon Sour
0:0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Tadamon Sour
3:1
Rasing
Rasing
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.3
Scored
0.3
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAl Riyadi Abbasiyah - Tadamon Sour
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1
matches total
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Tadamon Sour: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (17.07 12:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
0:0
Tadamon
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- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form