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Lebanon. Premier Leagie. Relegation group
Lebanon. Premier Leagie. Relegation group
12.06.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
12.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Lebanon. Premier Leagie. Relegation group

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - Al-Khikma

Football
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
0 : 1
Finished
A
Al-Khikma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - Al-Khikma June 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Khikma.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Khikma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.90 / X 3.23 / 2 1.82
  • 1X2 market: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 23.0% / X 27.8% / Al-Khikma 49.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 23.0%
X 27.8%
2 49.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Premier League
League table
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
#917 ptsGP 174-5-812:22
LWDDD
Al-Khikma
#720 ptsGP 156-2-717:19
LLWLL
Best price across 10 books
1 4.20 10Bet
X 3.40 William Hill
2 1.81 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.00
1 +0.00 X +0.00 2 +0.00 1 (DNB) +0.00
Al-Khikma
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.50 xG 0.76 xGA 1.74
1 -1.00 X -1.00 2 +0.53 1 (DNB) -1.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
Rating 1534
Al-Khikma
Rating 1560

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 12.06.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah - Al-Khikma

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 3.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.75 26.7%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.26 30.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.15 31.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3%
1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.67 59.9%

Total

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.36 73.5% 1.31 76.3%
Over 1.75 — 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.0 — 1.51 66.2%
Over 2.25 — 1.78 56.2%
Over 2.5 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5%
Over 2.75 — 2.28 43.9%
Over 3.0 — 2.83 35.3%
Over 3.25 — 3.14 31.9%
Over 3.5 3.75 26.7% 3.48 28.7%
Under 1.5 2.90 34.5% —
Under 2.5 1.67 59.9% —
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Baltbet Bet365 Betano Betcity
4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.25 30.8% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 1.92 52.1%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.26 30.7% 2.80 35.7% 3.40 29.4% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3%
1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 2.10 47.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.87 53.5% 4.10 24.4%