Match center
Start
03.07.2026 12:00 UTC
03.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished
Lebanon. Premier Leagie. Relegation group
Safa - Al-Mabarrah
S
Safa
4
:
0
Finished
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Safa — 68%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Safa - Al-Mabarrah July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Safa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 8.00 / 2 13.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 19.2%
1
83.1%
X
10.5%
2
6.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Premier LeagueLeague table
Safa
WDLWW
Al-Mabarrah
LLLLD
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Safa
W-D-L 6-1-3
Scored 1.51
Conceded 1.42
xG 1.01
xGA 1.27
Al-Mabarrah
W-D-L 4-2-4
Scored 0.70
Conceded 1.95
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Safa
Rating 1691
Al-Mabarrah
Rating 1502
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Form and head-to-head • Premier League
Team stats
Safa
DWWWLWWWLD
W 6 • D 2 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 1
5 place, 33 pts
Al-Mabarrah
DWDWLWDLLL
W 3 • D 3 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:0.7 : 2
8 place, 22 pts
Head-to-head: 5 — Safa 3, draws 1, Al-Mabarrah 1 (goals 8:3)
- Al Mabarrah — Safa2025-12-25 1:0
- Safa — Al Mabarrah2014-01-31 3:1
- Al Mabarrah — Safa2013-12-08 0:0
- Al Mabarrah — Safa2012-02-05 1:3
- Safa — Al Mabarrah2011-12-31 2:0
Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.
Clubs and venues
Team reference
Safa
- Safa Stadium (Beyrut) · 4 000 seats
- Founded in 1939
Al-Mabarrah
- Beyrut
- Founded in 1980
Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
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Match center
Safa - Al-Mabarrah
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.47
market consensus · line only
X
8.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.05
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.02
Fonbet · line only
X2
3.23
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0
9.50
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
3.45
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Yes
7.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.04 96.2% | 1.65 60.6% |
| yes | 7.50 13.3% | 2.11 47.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 1.01 99.0% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 3.15 31.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 11.00 9.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.72 58.1% | |
| X | 2.42 41.3% |
| 8.70 11.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.11 47.4% |
Match center
Safa
W
Safa
1:0
Al-Sakhel
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Al-Mabarrah
W
Al-Mabarrah
1:0
Rasing
Rasing
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySafa - Al-Mabarrah
Safa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals