Match center
Start
04.04.2026 23:30 UTC
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04.04.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished
Major League Soccer
Inter Miami - Austin
2
:
2
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Inter Miami — 64%
Model estimate: win Inter Miami 64.0%, draw 20.5%, win Austin 15.5%. Model favourite — Inter Miami.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Inter Miami - Austin April 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter Miami.
Strongest: Inter Miami - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.94 / 2 7.13
- 1X2 market: Inter Miami 68.1% / X 18.9% / Austin 13.1%
- Glicko: Inter Miami 64.0% / X 20.5% / Austin 15.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 20.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 ✓ Pick
68.1%
X
18.9%
2
13.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5
64.3%
Under 2.5
35.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
67.2%
Total
Under 2.5
Score
1:0
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Inter Miami 64%
💹 Market
Inter Miami 6805%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Inter Miami - Austin
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H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
yes
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:2
Events
16
Statistics
24
Lineups
19
min
Event
Player
Team
6'
6' Normal Goal
Austin
10'
10' Normal Goal | L. Messi | assist/sub out: I. Fray
Inter Miami
43'
43' Yellow Card | M. Falcón
Inter Miami
46'
46' Substitution 2 | F. Torres | assist/sub out: J. Nelson
Austin
46'
46' Substitution 1 | I. Fray | assist/sub out: G. Luján
Inter Miami
53'
53' Normal Goal
Austin
58'
58' Substitution 4 | D. Ayala | assist/sub out: Y. Bright
Inter Miami
58'
58' Substitution 3 | N. Allen | assist/sub out: G. Berterame
Inter Miami
Metric
Inter Miami
Austin
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
2.94
1.68
final
Zablokirovannye udary
6
1
final
Shots off target
14
5
final
Shots on target
8
3
final
Udary vsego
28
9
final
Fouls soversheno
7
8
final
Zheltye kartochki
2
0
final
Offsides
3
1
final
Inter Miami
#7 R. De Paul, #8 T. Segovia, #10 L. Messi, #16 Micael, #17 I. Fray, #21 T. Allende, #24 Mateo Silvetti, #32 N. Allen, #37 M. Falcón, #97 D. St. Clair
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
football.player.assists
0
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Dribling popytki
1
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Edinoborstva vyigrano
1
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Seyvy
2
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
football.player.minutes_played
90
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Klyuchevye pasy
33
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Reyting
1
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Reyting (staryy)
6.9
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Bloki
1
D. St. Clair
Inter Miami
Otbory vsego
31
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Inter Miami
69.7%
64.0%
market and model agree
Draw
18.1%
20.5%
draw risk
Austin
12.2%
15.5%
xG
-
2.02 : 0.88
Total 2.5
Over 20.9%
-
Under 79.1%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.06
Favourite-trap risk
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.06
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
64.0% / 20.5% / 15.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,671 / 1,468
Inter Miami / Austin
RD
131 / 133
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.13
market consensus · no value · model 15.5%
X
4.94
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.37
market consensus · no value · model 64.0%
Double chance
X2
2.98
market consensus · no value · model 36.0%
12
1.14
market consensus · no value · model 79.5%
1X
1.09
market consensus · no value · model 84.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.90
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.40
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.18
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.46
market consensus · no value · model 20.9%
Under 2.5
2.63
market consensus · weak value +108.0% · model 79.1%
Both teams to score
No
2.08
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.68
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.37 73.0% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 5.40 18.5% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.80 20.8% |
| 7.00 14.3% | 6.60 15.2% | 8.00 12.5% | 7.20 13.9% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.50 13.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.04 32.9% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.09 91.7% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.07 93.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | Bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.85 26.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | — |
Match center
Inter Miami
Founded
2018
Austin
Founded
2021
Match center
Inter Miami
R
Reguilón
Muscle Injury
MF
M. Falcón
Knee Injury
Austin
RT
R. Taylor
Knee Injury
BV
B. Vazquez
Knee Injury
Inter Miami
Founded: 2018
Austin
Founded: 2021
Match center
Full head-to-head historyInter Miami - Austin
Inter Miami
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
Unlock the full match prediction
The Inter Miami - Austin breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form