Match center
Start
04.04.2026 20:30 UTC
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04.04.2026 20:30 UTC
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Major League Soccer
New England Revolution - CF Montreal
3
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 New England Revolution — 48%
Model estimate: win New England Revolution 47.6%, draw 26.2%, win CF Montreal 26.2%. Model favourite — New England Revolution.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction New England Revolution - CF Montreal April 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like New England Revolution.
Strongest: New England Revolution - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 3.60 / 2 3.62
- 1X2 market: New England Revolution 48.4% / X 25.9% / CF Montreal 25.7%
- Glicko: New England Revolution 47.6% / X 26.2% / CF Montreal 26.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 80.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.2%
1
48.3%
X
25.9%
2
25.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
48.3%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
New England Revolution 48%
💹 Market
New England Revolution 4835%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
New England Revolution - CF Montreal
New England Revolution: Win 1.91 New England Revolution: Draw 3.75 CF Montreal Win: 3.80 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.73 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.08 Individualnyy total golov New England Revolution bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov New England Revolut…
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
yes
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
3:0
Events
15
Statistics
26
Lineups
4
min
Event
Player
Team
6'
6' Normal Goal | L. Langoni
New England Revolution
27'
27' Yellow Card | B. Raines
New England Revolution
33'
33' Yellow Card | W. Sands
New England Revolution
34'
34' Red Card | M. Mitrovic
New England Revolution
38'
38' Substitution 1 | M. Polster | assist/sub out: A. Yusuf
R. Freuler
New England Revolution
46'
46' Substitution 1 | D. Þórhallsson | assist/sub out: H. Synchuk
CF Montreal
53'
53' Yellow Card | H. Synchuk
CF Montreal
63'
63' Substitution 2 | G. Yow | assist/sub out: P. Miller
New England Revolution
Metric
New England Revolution
CF Montreal
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.77
1.09
final
Zablokirovannye udary
1
4
final
Shots off target
2
10
final
Shots on target
6
4
final
Udary vsego
9
18
final
Fouls soversheno
16
23
final
Red cards
1
0
final
Zheltye kartochki
2
3
final
New England Revolution
#11 D. Turgeman
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
D. Fagundez
New England Revolution
Seyvy
0
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Dribling popytki
5
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Edinoborstva vyigrano
8
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Fouls soversheno
5
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Seyvy
0
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
football.player.minutes_played
92
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Klyuchevye pasy
14
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Pasy vsego
1
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Reyting (staryy)
6.3
D. Turgeman
New England Revolution
Shots on target
2
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
New England Revolution
48.8%
47.6%
market and model agree
Draw
25.8%
26.2%
draw risk
CF Montreal
25.4%
26.2%
xG
-
1.47 : 1.02
Total 2.5
Over 80.5%
-
Under 19.5%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.01
Favourite-trap risk
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.01
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
47.6% / 26.2% / 26.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,413 / 1,386
New England Revolution / CF Montreal
RD
140 / 136
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.62
market consensus · no value · model 26.2%
X
3.60
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.93
market consensus · no value · model 47.6%
Double chance
X2
1.85
market consensus · no value · model 52.4%
12
1.25
market consensus · no value · model 73.8%
1X
1.25
market consensus · no value · model 73.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.45
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.58
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.73
market consensus · value +39.3% · model 80.5%
Under 2.5
2.07
market consensus · no value · model 19.5%
Both teams to score
No
2.15
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.64
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.50 28.6% |
| 3.65 27.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.60 27.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | Bet365 | Betano | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | Bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | 2.75 36.4% |
| Over 4.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | 5.50 18.2% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 11.00 9.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | — |
Match center
New England Revolution
Founded
1995
CF Montreal
Founded
2010
Match center
New England Revolution
LC
L. Campana
Injury
AF
A. Farrell
Hip Injury
CF Montreal
FH
F. Herbers
Ankle Injury
SI
S. Ibrahim
Back Injury
New England Revolution
Founded: 1995
CF Montreal
Founded: 2010
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNew England Revolution - CF Montreal
New England Revolution
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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