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Major League Soccer
Major League Soccer USA
04.04.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Major League Soccer

USA

Toronto FC - Colorado Rapids

USA Football
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
3 : 2
Finished
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto FC - Colorado Rapids April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Toronto FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Toronto FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.60 / 2 3.45
  • 1X2 market: Toronto FC 47.1% / X 25.9% / Colorado Rapids 27.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 47.1%
X 25.9%
2 27.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Toronto FC - Colorado Rapids

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.79 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.21 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8%
3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.65 27.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.15 46.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.28 43.9% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.27 78.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet Bet365
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% — 1.70 58.8%
Over 2.75 — 1.97 50.8% —
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7% — 2.75 36.4%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1% — 5.00 20.0%
Over 5.5 — — 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% — —
Under 2.75 — 1.92 52.1% —
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4% — —
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0% — —