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Malawi. Premier League
Malawi. Premier League
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Malawi. Premier League

Karonga Yunayted - Dedza Dinamos

Football
K
Karonga Yunayted
1 : 3
Finished
D
Dedza Dinamos

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Karonga Yunayted - Dedza Dinamos July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dedza Dinamos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.70 / X 9.50 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 68.4%
1 34.9%
X 6.3%
2 58.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Karonga Yunayted
Well rested
  • Rest days: 6
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Dedza Dinamos
Well rested
  • Rest days: 6
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 10:30 UTC
Match center

Karonga Yunayted - Dedza Dinamos

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.40 market consensus · line only
1 0 5.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.43 69.9% 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.60 38.5% 2.47 40.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.08 92.6% 1.13 88.5% 10.50 9.5%
x2 1.88 53.2% 2.03 49.3% 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.40 41.7%
X 1.85 54.1%
6.60 15.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.61 62.1%
Under 0.5 2.18 45.9%
Match center
Karonga Yunayted
W
31.05 10:30 UTC MALAVI: Superliga Standings
Karonga Yunayted 1:0 Red Layons
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Dedza Dinamos
W
31.05 10:30 UTC MALAVI: Superliga Standings
Dedza Dinamos 1:0 Kamudzu Barraks
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points