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MALI: Premer-Division Standings
MALI: Premer-Division Standings
09.06.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
09.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

MALI: Premer-Division Standings

Buguba - Diarra

Football
Buguba
Buguba
2 : 6
Finished
Diarra
Diarra

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Buguba - Diarra June 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Diarra.

Line favourite market consensus: Diarra. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 2.67 / 2 2.50
  • 1X2 market: Buguba 31.0% / X 33.3% / Diarra 35.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.3%
1 31.0%
X 33.4%
2 35.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Première Division
League table
Buguba
#831 ptsGP 258-7-1021:30
Diarra
#444 ptsGP 2513-5-732:22
Best price across 10 books
1 3.04 1xBet
X 2.80 Unibet
2 2.63 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Buguba
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.10 xG 0.81 xGA 1.21
1 +3.00 X -2.35 2 +0.85 1 (DNB) +0.00
Diarra
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.30 xG 0.95 xGA 0.99
1 -0.04 X -7.46 2 +2.15 1 (DNB) +0.00

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Buguba
Rating 1520 xG 0.99 Win 31%
Diarra
Rating 1573 xG 1.19 Win 40%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 09.06.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Buguba - Diarra

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 2.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.57 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.62 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
3.04 32.9% 2.75 36.4% 2.85 35.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.90 34.5%
X 2.66 37.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.70 37.0%
2.52 39.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.52 39.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.01 99.0%
1x 10.50 9.5%
x2 1.23 81.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
5.20 19.2%
1.23 81.3%
1.03 97.1%
1.12 89.3%
7.90 12.7%
2.25 44.4%
1.11 90.1%
3.55 28.2%
8.50 11.8%
5.10 19.6%
1.04 96.2%
1.57 63.7%
Match center
Buguba
W
05.06 16:30 UTC MALI: Premer-Division Standings
Buguba 1:0 BingaBinga
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Diarra
W
02.06 14:30 UTC MALI: Premer-Division Standings
Diarra 1:0 Fut ElitFut Elit
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBuguba - Diarra

Buguba
0 matches total
Diarra
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history