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Mexico. Liga de Expansion
Mexico. Liga de Expansion
28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. Liga de Expansion

Alebrijes Oaxaca - Dorados de Sinaloa

Football
A
Alebrijes Oaxaca
- : -
Not started
D
Dorados de Sinaloa
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Dorados de Sinaloa51%

1 · Alebrijes Oaxaca29.4%
X · draw19.1%
2 · Dorados de Sinaloa51.5%

Model estimate: win Alebrijes Oaxaca 29.4%, draw 19.1%, win Dorados de Sinaloa 51.5%. Model favourite — Dorados de Sinaloa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Dorados de Sinaloa (odds1.94) Score 1:2 confidence 51%
  • Model backs Dorados de Sinaloa: probability 51% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alebrijes Oaxaca - Dorados de Sinaloa July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Alebrijes Oaxaca 2 : 0 Dorados de Sinaloa
11.59
X3.34
25.76

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Alebrijes Oaxaca - Dorados de Sinaloa

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alebrijes Oaxaca - 29.4%
Draw - 19.1% draw risk
Dorados de Sinaloa - 51.5% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.4% / 19.1% / 51.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,301 / 1,500 Alebrijes Oaxaca / Dorados de Sinaloa
RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 719-1,883 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Alebrijes Oaxaca
L
25.07 21:00 UTC Mexico: Liga Ekspanson MKh - Apertura Standings
Alebrijes Oaxaca 0:3 Venados
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points