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Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings
Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings
04.08.2026 01:06 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line –Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 01:06 UTC
Not started

Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings

Santos Laguna (Zh) - Amerika (Zh)

Football
Santos Laguna (Zh)
Santos Laguna (Zh)
- : -
Not started
Amerika (Zh)
Amerika (Zh)

Santos Laguna (Zh) face Amerika (Zh) on August 4, 2026 in the Mexico: Liga MX - Women - Apertura Standings.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Amerika (Zh) — 82%

Pure model vs market (2 · Amerika (Zh)): model 33% · market 87% Δ −54 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Santos Laguna (Zh)6.8%
market5%
X · draw11.2%
market8%
2 · Amerika (Zh) ✓ Pick82.0%
market87%

Model estimate: win Santos Laguna (Zh) 6.8%, draw 11.2%, win Amerika (Zh) 82.0%. Model favourite — Amerika (Zh).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santos Laguna (Zh) - Amerika (Zh) August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 10.0% 2 books
1 4.5%
2 ✓ Pick 87.0%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Santos Laguna (Zh) 1 : 4 Amerika (Zh)
125.00
X11.20
21.01

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
21 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 100% 1
2 0% 0
Total TB 3 1.83 (3) - TB 3.5 2.41 (2) - TM 2 3.60 (1)
handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 2.02 (3) - handicap1:-1 1.52 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_under:2_5 1.56 (1)
corners_total_under corners_total_over:10_5 2.01 (2) - corners_total_over:9_5 1.63 (1)
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 01:06 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 100%
📐 Math model Amerika (Zh) 82%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Santos Laguna (Zh) - Amerika (Zh)

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 1 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Santos Laguna (Zh) 4.4% 6.8%
Draw 10.5% 11.2% draw risk
Amerika (Zh) 85.1% 82.0% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 6.8% / 11.2% / 82.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Santos Laguna (Zh) / Amerika (Zh)
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 82.0%
Double chance
12 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 88.8%
1X 7.80 market consensus · no value · model 18.0%
Both teams to score
No 1.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.24 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.58 63.3%
yes 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.04 96.2%
1x 7.80 12.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
15.10 6.6%
X 3.67 27.3%
1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 1.5 1.94 51.6%