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Mexico. Liga de Expansion
Mexico. Liga de Expansion
31.07.2026 23:00 UTC
31.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. Liga de Expansion

Kankun - Leones Negros

Football
K
Kankun
- : -
Not started
L
Leones Negros
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Leones Negros — 52%

1 · Kankun29.4%
X · draw18.9%
2 · Leones Negros51.7%

Model estimate: win Kankun 29.4%, draw 18.9%, win Leones Negros 51.7%. Model favourite — Leones Negros.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leones Negros (odds2.37) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Leones Negros: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.37)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kankun - Leones Negros July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Kankun - Leones Negros

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Kankun - 29.4%
Draw - 18.9% draw risk
Leones Negros - 51.7% model pick

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.4% / 18.9% / 51.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,700 Kankun / Leones Negros
RD 350 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,118-2,282 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Leones Negros
W
25.07 20:00 UTC Mexico: Liga Ekspanson MKh - Apertura Standings
Leones Negros 4:2 Tlaskala
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKankun - Leones Negros

Kankun
0 matches total
Leones Negros
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history