Dorados meet Mineros de Zacatecas on August 7, 2026 in the Mexico. Liga de Expansion.
Recent form (W-D-L): Dorados 1-0-0, Mineros de Zacatecas 0-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2Mineros de Zacatecas — 42%
Pure model vs market (2 · Mineros de Zacatecas): model 32% · market 42%Δ −10 ppmodel estimates below the market
42%2
1 · Dorados30.9%
X · draw27.3%
2 · Mineros de Zacatecas41.9%
Model estimate: win Dorados 30.9%, draw 27.3%, win Mineros de Zacatecas 41.9%. Model favourite — Mineros de Zacatecas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Dorados (odds2.12)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Dorados de Sinaloa: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.12)
•edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas August 7, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Mineros de Zacatecas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.6%
3 books
129.9%
X27.6%
242.5%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga de Expansión MX
League table
Dorados
#83 ptsGP 11-0-02:0
Mineros de Zacatecas
#54 ptsGP 21-1-06:4
Best price
across 9 books
13.06Pinnacle
X3.4510Bet
22.2410Bet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Dorados
Rating 1441xG 1.01Win 28%
Mineros de Zacatecas
Rating 1531xG 1.34Win 44%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Dorados3:0Mineros de Zacatecas
11.13
X6.75
213.00
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated04.08.2026 02:36 UTC
143%✓ favourite
X29%
228%
Score2:1Total goals: Over 2.5BTTS:YesBet:1X and Over 1.5
Per AI dataH2H: 2-1
Claudeupdated04.08.2026 02:39 UTC
145%✓ favourite
X27%
228%
Score1:1Total goals: Over 1.5BTTS:NoBet:1X (Dorados ne proigraet) ot 1.45
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
43%
29%
28%
2:1
Over 2.5
Yes
1X and Over 1.5
Claude
45%
27%
28%
1:1
Over 1.5
No
1X (Dorados ne proigraet) ot 1.45
Buy the full AI analysis
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Dorados29.9%30.9%
Draw27.6%27.3%draw risk
Mineros de Zacatecas42.5%41.9%market and model agree
xG-1.01 : 1.34
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P230.9% / 27.3% / 41.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,500 / 1,481
Dorados de Sinaloa / Mineros Sakatekas
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.13
market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
X3.34
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
13.11
market consensus · no value · model 30.9%
Double chance
121.27
market consensus · no value · model 72.7%
1X1.59
market consensus · no value · model 58.1%
X21.32
market consensus · no value · model 69.1%
Handicap
2 -0.51.98
market consensus · line only
2 01.59
market consensus · line only
1 +0.51.74
market consensus · line only
1 02.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.86
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.84
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.06
market consensus · line only
Yes1.68
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
2.0648.5%
yes
1.6859.5%
Double chance
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
12
1.2580.0%
1.2977.5%
1x
1.5664.1%
1.6261.7%
x2
1.2977.5%
1.3474.6%
First Half Winner
Outcome
Leon
3.6627.3%
X
2.2245.1%
2.6637.6%
Goals Over/Under First Half
Outcome
Leon
Over 1.5
2.6138.3%
Under 1.5
1.4071.4%
Match center
Dorados
W
30.07 23:00 UTCMexico: Liga Ekspanson MKh - Apertura Standings
Dorados2:1Alebrikhes de Oakhaka
1Wins
0Draws
0Losses
2.0Scored
1.0Conceded
3Points
Mineros de Zacatecas
D
24.07 23:00 UTCMexico: Liga Ekspanson MKh - Apertura Standings
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Alebrikhes de Oakhaka