Mexico. Liga MX
Club Queretaro - Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro meet Tigres UANL on August 1, 2026 in the Mexico. Liga MX.
Recent form (W-D-L): Club Queretaro 1-0-1, Tigres UANL 0-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Tigres UANL — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · Tigres UANL): model 24% · market 48% Δ −24 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Club Queretaro 28.5%, draw 24.6%, win Tigres UANL 46.9%. Model favourite — Tigres UANL.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Keretaro: probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Club Queretaro - Tigres UANL August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.76 / X 3.80 / 2 2.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga MXHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Club Queretaro - Tigres UANL
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.06 48.5% |
| yes | 1.71 58.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.77 56.5% | 1.80 55.6% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.12 24.3% | |
| X | 2.28 43.9% |
| 2.58 38.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.97 50.8% |
Club Queretaro
Pachuka
Amerika
Tigres UANL
Atletiko San-Luis
Tikhuana
Full head-to-head historyClub Queretaro - Tigres UANL
Match history
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The Club Queretaro - Tigres UANL breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form