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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
02.08.2026 03:05 UTC
Not started

Mexico. Liga MX

Cruz Azul - Atlante FC

Football
Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
- : -
Not started
Atlante FC
Atlante FC

Cruz Azul go head-to-head with Atlante FC on August 2, 2026 in the Mexico. Liga MX.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cruz Azul 1-0-1, Atlante FC 0-1-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cruz Azul71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cruz Azul): model 59% · market 71% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cruz Azul ✓ Pick70.9%
market71%
X · draw18.2%
market19%
2 · Atlante FC10.8%
market11%

Model estimate: win Cruz Azul 70.9%, draw 18.2%, win Atlante FC 10.8%. Model favourite — Cruz Azul.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cruz Azul (odds1.87) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Krus Asul: probability 50% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.87)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cruz Azul - Atlante FC August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cruz Azul. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 5.10 / 2 9.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 ✓ Pick 70.6%
X 18.8%
2 10.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga MX
League table
Cruz Azul
#56 ptsGP 22-0-05:3
Atlante FC
#141 ptsGP 20-1-12:3
Best price across 13 books
1 1.37 Betano
X 5.40 Unibet
2 10.00 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cruz Azul 4 : 1 Atlante FC
11.28
X5.70
26.89

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 03:05 UTC
Market 1 70.6% @ 1.36 / X 18.8% @ 5.10 / 2 10.6% @ 9.10
Match center

Cruz Azul - Atlante FC

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cruz Azul 71.7% 70.9% market and model agree
Draw 18.1% 18.2% draw risk
Atlante FC 10.2% 10.8%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 70.9% / 18.2% / 10.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,761 / 1,445 Cruz Azul / Atlante
RD 240 / 252 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,282-2,241 / 941-1,949 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.73 market consensus · no value · model 10.8%
X 5.07 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 70.9%
Double chance
12 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 81.8%
1X 1.05 market consensus · no value · model 89.2%
X2 3.10 market consensus · no value · model 29.1%
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2%
x2 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.75 57.1%
X 2.70 37.0%
7.80 12.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.23 44.8%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center
Cruz Azul
W L
21.07 23:00 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Cruz Azul 2:1 PueblaPuebla
17.07 23:00 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Cruz Azul 1:2 Atletiko San-LuisAtletiko San-Luis
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Atlante FC
D L
25.07 01:00 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Atlante FC 1:1 AmerikaAmerika
16.07 23:00 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Atlante FC 1:2 NekaksaNekaksa
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCruz Azul - Atlante FC

Cruz Azul
0 matches total
Atlante FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history