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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
17.07.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction
17.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. Liga MX

Leon - Atlas

Football
Leon
Leon
2 : 3
Finished
Atlas
Atlas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leon - Atlas July 17, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atlas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.10 / X 6.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 63.3%
1 29.2%
X 10.2%
2 60.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Leon 2 : 1 Atlas
12.10
X3.32
23.35

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 17.07.2026 23:00 UTC
Match center

Leon - Atlas

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 6.00 Fonbet · line only
1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.25 30.8% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.30 76.9% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 11.50 8.7%
x2 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.73 36.6%
X 2.14 46.7%
4.25 23.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.84 54.4%
Under 1 1.89 52.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeon - Atlas

Leon
0 matches total
Atlas
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history