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Mexico. Liga MX
Mexico. Liga MX
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Mexico. Liga MX

Club Queretaro - Tigres UANL

Football
Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
- : -
Not started
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL

Club Queretaro meet Tigres UANL on August 1, 2026 in the Mexico. Liga MX.

Recent form (W-D-L): Club Queretaro 1-0-1, Tigres UANL 0-1-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Tigres UANL47%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tigres UANL): model 24% · market 49% Δ −25 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Club Queretaro28.5%
X · draw24.6%
2 · Tigres UANL46.9%

Model estimate: win Club Queretaro 28.5%, draw 24.6%, win Tigres UANL 46.9%. Model favourite — Tigres UANL.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Club Queretaro (odds1.63) Score 2:0 confidence 61%
  • Model backs Keretaro: probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Club Queretaro - Tigres UANL August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Tigres UANL. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.80 / X 3.80 / 2 1.98

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 25.5%
X 25.5%
2 49.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga MX
League table
Club Queretaro
#113 ptsGP 21-0-12:2
Tigres UANL
#151 ptsGP 20-1-13:5
Best price across 13 books
1 3.80 Bet365
X 3.75 Unibet
2 2.03 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Club Queretaro
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.72 xG 1.13 xGA 1.64 Corners 6.0
Tigres UANL
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.69 Conceded 1.47 xG 1.57 xGA 1.08 Corners 5.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Club Queretaro
Rating 1516 xG 0.88 Win 23%
Tigres UANL
Rating 1505 xG 1.47 Win 51%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 25.5% @ 3.80 / X 25.5% @ 3.80 / 2 49.0% @ 1.98
Match center

Club Queretaro - Tigres UANL

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Club Queretaro 26.8% 28.5%
Draw 24.8% 24.6% draw risk
Tigres UANL 48.4% 46.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 28.5% / 24.6% / 46.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,517 / 1,302 Keretaro / Tigres Monterrey
RD 254 / 227 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,008-2,025 / 847-1,757 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.94 market consensus · no value · model 46.9%
X 3.73 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.58 market consensus · no value · model 28.5%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 75.4%
1X 1.79 market consensus · no value · model 53.1%
X2 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 71.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.45 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.07 48.3%
yes 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6%
x2 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.10 24.4%
X 2.29 43.7%
2.57 38.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.78 56.2%
Under 1 1.97 50.8%
Match center
Club Queretaro
W L
26.07 23:06 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Club Queretaro 2:1 PachukaPachuka
19.07 01:10 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Club Queretaro 0:1 AmerikaAmerika
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Tigres UANL
D L
26.07 01:00 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Tigres UANL 2:2 Atletiko San-LuisAtletiko San-Luis
17.07 01:10 UTC Mexico: Liga MX - Apertura Standings
Tigres UANL 1:3 TikhuanaTikhuana
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points